Joedaman, i dont think Serbia will win 
We have more enemies then allies 
And yet you did win it few years ago.
Also to all other people who say that it is purely political. I give you list of winners from 1995 to 2010.
- 1995 - Norway
- 1996 - Ireland
- 1997 - United Kingdom
- 1998 - Israel
- 1999 - Sweden
- 2000 - Denmark
- 2001 - Estonia
- 2002 - Latvia
- 2003 - Turkey
- 2004 - Ukraine
- 2005 - Greece
- 2006 - Finland
- 2007 - Serbia
- 2008 - Russia
- 2009 - Norway
- 2010 - Germany
Last 15 years we have had 14 different winners. Now with the last 15 years political map nor the relationships between countries has not changed that much. So how do you explain that we have had so much different winners who are not even from the same area, as we have there old veterans like Ireland, UK and Germany there, Scandinavian countries (Finland, Norway, Denmark and Sweden), Baltic States (Latvia, Estonia), We also have a Balkan State of Serbia there, Turkey and Ukraine as well and big Russia.
If you would say it is political there would be a lot less winners in the past 15 years. it would look more like 1992 to 1994 when Ireland won three contest in a row.