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Offline Jubin

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Reply #180 on: April 08, 2011, 10:24:39 pm
I need some math challenges. :cool:
Three men, Adam, Bertie and Charlie, agree to take part in a lethal three-way duel. They each have a pistol and several rounds of ammo, and they draw lots to see who will shoot first and who second. Then they stand an equal distance apart, and they take turns to fire. When it is a player's turn, he can take one shot at any target of his choice, then the turn passes to the next player. The duel continues until only one player is left alive.

For simplicity, we can ignore the possibility of a player becoming injured and unable to shoot: a player is either alive or dead. We also assume that each player chooses to play in such a way as to give himself the best chance of winning.

Now Adam will always kill the person he shoots,Bertie hits 80% of the times and  Charlie is only a moderate shot and will only hit 50% of the times. All three men know this.

Of the three men, who has the best chance of winning the duel? Which are the surviving chances for the others. With the calculations please : )

And we do not try to be real life, as why would you ever play real life if you have one ? We play the GTA universe, and our players should try to live in the GTA world, not the real one.



Offline JDC

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Reply #181 on: April 08, 2011, 10:27:47 pm
You're not alone. :lol:
 
I saw this topic, and now I love this community even more.
 
Now, a simple trick question for all the smart minds here. Let's see if you can get it on the first try reading.
 
A bald lady lives in a yellow house. She wears yellow clothes, has yellow furniture, everything in the house is yellow. Later in the day, she rode a yellow taxi with a driver wearing yellow to the nearby mall, paying 3 kroner in fees. The mall is also colored yellow on the walls, the floor, the ceiling, and so is all their merchandise, and the lady shops for a day before riding home in another yellow cab. At this point, her eyes are already strained from yellow fatigue after using a yellow computer. When she looked at herself in the mirror after a tiring day, she was holding a green comb but she did not use it.
 
Why didn't she use it?

The most important part is interacting with others and meeting people from around the world.

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Offline happyday

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Reply #182 on: April 08, 2011, 10:34:35 pm
she is bald yo, unless she did use it -- but on her pubic hair?



Offline JDC

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Reply #183 on: April 08, 2011, 10:42:09 pm
It's always more confusing when told in person. Heh. Anyways, another one.
 
Imagine Gandalf is on vacation in Libya when the war erupts. When he went there, he wanted to build a sauna.
 
In a night of war, dozens of armies unleash legions of bombs upon the country, changing the night sky from black to yellow. The effect of the mass napalm shower makes itself felt in Libya, the light from the fires in the sky is bright enough to read a newspaper inside a forest at midnight. After this night, Gandalf does not need to build a sauna anymore.
 
Why does Gandalf no longer need to build a sauna?

The most important part is interacting with others and meeting people from around the world.

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Offline Daco

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Reply #184 on: April 08, 2011, 11:09:08 pm
Three men, Adam, Bertie and Charlie, agree to take part in a lethal three-way duel. They each have a pistol and several rounds of ammo, and they draw lots to see who will shoot first and who second. Then they stand an equal distance apart, and they take turns to fire. When it is a player's turn, he can take one shot at any target of his choice, then the turn passes to the next player. The duel continues until only one player is left alive.

For simplicity, we can ignore the possibility of a player becoming injured and unable to shoot: a player is either alive or dead. We also assume that each player chooses to play in such a way as to give himself the best chance of winning.

Now Adam will always kill the person he shoots,Bertie hits 80% of the times and  Charlie is only a moderate shot and will only hit 50% of the times. All three men know this.

Of the three men, who has the best chance of winning the duel? Which are the surviving chances for the others. With the calculations please : )

Already started doing it but it's late... *sleepy* I'll finish it tomorrow. :D



Offline MrFrancis

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Reply #185 on: April 09, 2011, 05:07:13 am
It's always more confusing when told in person. Heh. Anyways, another one.
 
Imagine Gandalf is on vacation in Libya when the war erupts. When he went there, he wanted to build a sauna.
 
In a night of war, dozens of armies unleash legions of bombs upon the country, changing the night sky from black to yellow. The effect of the mass napalm shower makes itself felt in Libya, the light from the fires in the sky is bright enough to read a newspaper inside a forest at midnight. After this night, Gandalf does not need to build a sauna anymore.
 
Why does Gandalf no longer need to build a sauna?

Coz it has an 'atmospheric' sauna already in Libya



Offline Call_me_Dad

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Reply #186 on: April 09, 2011, 12:56:36 pm
Three men, Adam, Bertie and Charlie, agree to take part in a lethal three-way duel. They each have a pistol and several rounds of ammo, and they draw lots to see who will shoot first and who second. Then they stand an equal distance apart, and they take turns to fire. When it is a player's turn, he can take one shot at any target of his choice, then the turn passes to the next player. The duel continues until only one player is left alive.

For simplicity, we can ignore the possibility of a player becoming injured and unable to shoot: a player is either alive or dead. We also assume that each player chooses to play in such a way as to give himself the best chance of winning.

Now Adam will always kill the person he shoots,Bertie hits 80% of the times and  Charlie is only a moderate shot and will only hit 50% of the times. All three men know this.

Of the three men, who has the best chance of winning the duel? Which are the surviving chances for the others. With the calculations please : )

I tried this:

There are 6 permutations for the draws: (representing the order of who shoots after who):
1 ABC
2 ACB
3 BAC
4 BCA
5 CAB
6 CBA

Each draw has a probability of 1/6=0.16

Lets calculate the probability of A winning the battle=
Sum of probabilities of A winning the battle in all six cases=
Case 1: ABC
P(event) denotes the probability of occurrence of 'event'

Case1 && A shoots B && C misses A = P(Case1) x P(A shoots B) x P(C misses A)
=0.16 x 1 x 0.5
=0.08

Case 2: ACB
Case2 && A shoots B && C misses A = P(Case1) x P(A shoots B) x P(C misses A)
=0.08

Case 3: BAC
Case3 && B misses A && A shoots B && C misses A = P(Case3) x P(B misses A) x P(C misses A)
=0.16 x 0.2 x 0.5
=0.016

Case 4: BCA
Case4 && B misses A && C misses A && C misses A again = P(Case4) x P(B misses A) x P(C misses A) x P(C misses A)
=0.16 x 0.2 x 0.5 x 0.5
=0.008

Case 5: CAB
Case5 && C misses A && C misses A again = P(case5) x P(C misses A) x P(C misses A)
=0.16 x 0.5 x 0.5
=0.04

Case 6: CBA
P(Case6) x P(C misses A) x (B misses A) x P(C misses A)
=0.16 x 0.5 x 0.2 x 0.5
=0.008

So probability of A winning the threesome=0.08 + 0.08 + 0.016 + 0.008 + 0.04 + 0.008= 0.232

Some1 else calculate plssss....ima sleep now



Offline Jubin

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Reply #187 on: April 09, 2011, 01:04:30 pm
I have to say  that Call_Me_Dad already has mistakes in his train of thoughts.

And we do not try to be real life, as why would you ever play real life if you have one ? We play the GTA universe, and our players should try to live in the GTA world, not the real one.



Offline Ayden

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Reply #188 on: April 09, 2011, 01:34:22 pm
From the way I see it, Charlie has the best chance at winning if he has knowledge to win even if he is the worst shooter. He will just shoot and aim at pure air in order to prevent the two others to shoot at him. So Charlie has a 2/3 chance to win, while the two others have just 1/3 chance to win as they will shoot at each other if they get drawn.
I figured this out since you said yourself that they all knew who were shooting the best and who weren't :)
Not sure on the calculation part though.
Correct me if my theory is wrong ;)



Offline Altair_Carter

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Reply #189 on: April 09, 2011, 01:39:10 pm
A trick question:

What colour would chameleon be if you put him in a mirror room?

http://argonathrpg.eu/forum/index.php?topic=46601.0
Quote from: ElMartu on WS Forums --->http://www.wshadows.com/forum/index.php?topic=1012.msg15914#msg15914 date=1274383278
DONT PRESSURE ME IM RETARED
The entire reason we have Hydra/Hunter on the server is because cops don't know how to work together. Sadly


Offline JDC

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Reply #190 on: April 09, 2011, 01:48:08 pm
Can it become transparent? :lol:

The most important part is interacting with others and meeting people from around the world.

A Time for Rebuilding: SA:MP HQ 5-Point AgendaThe Holy Church of Argonath (Recruiting)


Offline Daco

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Reply #191 on: April 09, 2011, 01:59:56 pm
I will refer to Adam: A, Bertie: B and Charles: C.
A does 100% damage and the target dies.
B does 80% damage.
C does 50% damage.

Now, who will begin shooting first, then who will begin shooting second, so each player's turn will be clear? Since they'll play lottery to determine it, this is where probabilities come in.
I will take each case alone: If A starts shooting, or B starts shooting, or C starts shooting.

Since it has been 3 years since I studied probabilities in school, I'll use l'arbre de choix or what we call selection tree in English, or close to it.

1st scenario: If A starts shooting:



The lines linking a letter to another is the trajectory of the bullet from the left to the right. Equal signs move on to the next action in the same scenario.

2nd scenario: If B starts shooting:



3rd scenario: If C starts shooting:



Now we count the chances.

It's obvious that A has the most winning chances, now let's count B's chance and C.

B's chances are 7 wins out of total 24 wins. So his chance his 7/24 of winning, which is approximately 29 %.

Same goes for B.

Cheers :girl:



Offline Drastic

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Reply #192 on: April 09, 2011, 02:04:20 pm
fucking amazed

Francesco Corleone


Offline Daco

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Reply #193 on: April 09, 2011, 02:07:29 pm
f**king amazed

 :girl:



also guys, maths or gtfo



Offline Jubin

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Reply #194 on: April 09, 2011, 02:35:13 pm
Daco - For simplicity, we can ignore the possibility of a player becoming injured and unable to shoot: a player is either alive or dead.
So no 50% alive option.

I am not amazed at all.

From the way I see it, Charlie has the best chance at winning if he has knowledge to win even if he is the worst shooter. He will just shoot and aim at pure air in order to prevent the two others to shoot at him. So Charlie has a 2/3 chance to win, while the two others have just 1/3 chance to win as they will shoot at each other if they get drawn.
I figured this out since you said yourself that they all knew who were shooting the best and who weren't :)
Not sure on the calculation part though.
Correct me if my theory is wrong ;)
Ayden you do realize, that shooting into the air does not prevent others from shooting him. Because once A or B is dead. they will shoot C.

And we do not try to be real life, as why would you ever play real life if you have one ? We play the GTA universe, and our players should try to live in the GTA world, not the real one.



 


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